Is Ethiopia ready for democracy?

Is Ethiopia ready for democracy?

Opportunities and Threats for minorities

Written by

 Professor Abdi Khalil and Amira Aboubaker

Ethiopia is at a crossroad since it is a hotbed of ethnic conflict illustrating the fearsome complexity of the mind sets among its population. On the surface, it appears it is heading to some democratic changes, but beneath the surface it is boiling with miscarriage of justice, abusing most of the minorities and becoming fertile ground for anarchism. On the positive side, the release of political prisoners, provisionally accommodating various political parties and reconciling with neighboring countries appear to colorfully paint the road to democracy.  Realizing these conflicting phenomena, it begs to raise the question, “Is Ethiopia ready for democracy or bound to continue with business as usual?” Does adopting democratic ideology alter the default mindset of ethnocracy?

It is almost a year since the seemingly revolution or political evolution with swift unprecedented changes within EPRDF and shift of power from one ethnic group to another manifested with assorted ethnic violence and abuse of human rights across the country.  Noting the ethnocracy, Pharaonic and hypocritical attitudes of the current regime as repeatedly demonstrated by neglecting the abysmal human tragedies, and the democratic rights of the minorities, we beg to differ from the current authorities who are painting a rosy picture of relationships among the 83 plus ethnic groups in the country, especially when the federal government ignores the rights of the minorities, not upholding the rule of law against land and property predators, as well as miscarriage of justice by larger ethnic groups against the smaller ones.

One can easily learn that Ethiopia is not even remotely close to be a democratic country as it was witnessed in the currently released Democracy Index 2018, which placed Ethiopia at the bottom 10 out of 165 countries around the globe. In fact, according to the Economist Intelligent Unit (EIU) Democracy Index, EIU is a snapshot of the state of world democracy for 165 independent states and two territories. The Democracy Index is based on five categories: electoral process and pluralism; civil liberties; the functioning of government; political participation; and political culture. Based on their scores on 60 indicators within these categories, each country is then itself classified as one of four types of regime: full democracy; flawed democracy; hybrid regime; and authoritarian regime. Ethiopia is positioned at the very bottom category as Authoritarian regime.

When democracy is not functioning or implemented properly, this is a vivid evidence and demonstration from international body that why the country is consumed with tribal violence, abuse of minorities and miscarriages of justice, and most of all implying how the federal government neglects the rights of the minorities and failing in the application of democratic principles, and rule of law in the country. Behold of security and peace first to take to the first step towards a democratic system!

The rule of democracy states that the power belongs in the hands of the people. In accordance to this rule, no one political party or ethnocentric party is above the law and merely dictating rules to the rest of the citizens. In principles, of course, the minorities should have equal role based on equality and equity. Most of the population must come to an agreed upon consensus to have a functioning and active government including most of the minorities with their rights being upheld. No one should be left out!  An eminent characteristic of democracies around the world is the existing of many political parties. The exact definition of political party is conflicted because while some think of parties as body of persons united, for promoting by their joint endeavors the national interest, upon some principle in which they all agreed; others maintain that a party is an organized group to gain control of the government under the group name by winning election to public office. In Ethiopia’s case, where ethnic political forces dictate, how does the large ethnic party equitably espouse the minority groups to establish a democratic country?

Having set the above as a premise, let us now analyze the current Ethiopian political movements.  As Ethiopians, we are well aware of the current political revolution or evolution that has brought us to our current moment in history. There are fertile grounds for political transformation and building the new road towards democracy.  The air of Freedom is affecting the entire nation in both positive and negative ways. This polarity is to be expected from a nation that has been silenced for decades, if not centuries. The Air of democracy we see, though is great start on the path towards democracy, unless The Rule of Law remain the Governing Law for the safety, security of all Nations; there is no doubt that “Freedom” without Rule of Law will not lead any nation to Democracy, but surely leads towards Anarchism and lawless society. In almost a year now the lawlessness and anarchism have displayed rampantly across the country with rare interventions from the current federal government. It is also true that Rule of Law without Freedom would lead to Tyranny as well. The transition to the so-called democracy manifested the mono-ethnic dominancy that deemed exercising authoritarianism, as being categorized by EIU 2018 index.

The current Ethiopian Political movements, with all the uncertainty that is flaring everywhere, yet witnessing the many opposing Political Parties successfully communicating with one another, forming alliances, holding productive political debates are very inspiring. The Path to democracy is long and arduous, and to implement democracy that includes everyone is not an easy task.  To purge the Tyranny of the past and the current ethnocratic mind-set from the consciousness of the nation is a daunting task; however, changing the mind-set of the nation that wants democracy is a must. As Albert Einstein said “No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness that created it.”  Which means before we say let us march towards democracy, we must pave the way first. That means, analyse the indoctrination that has been implemented on the mass consciousness for many decades; healing the nation from past trauma, start cleaning, clearing the painful past by removing at the constitutional level, the mental blockages built by the past regimes; we have to educate the nation on what democracy is, including equity and quality with humanity at its core; above of all, Rule of Law need to be enforced at all times, so that citizens feel safe, secure and free. Democratic transition and Consciousness transformation need to move along in parallel; then and only then can we say, we are on the road to democracy; only then can we say that there is a chance for implementation of true and lasting democracy. But a strong government that is fully supported by the nations is priority number one, without which none of the above mentioned can come to fruition. What does that kind of Government look like?

Today in Ethiopia, there are many political parties that are recognized by the current Government, what makes them unique is that each of the parties represent their own social groups (often ethnic group), and few of them can represent the other many social groups. Each one of the many existing political parties have their own version of democracy, that is, democracy for their social group; looking at each of these parties, we need to ask if they qualify to lead Ethiopia toward democracy. How can a party that have formed along its ethnic line that is not inclusive lead the nation toward democracy?  

Each of these political parties present their own ethnic based plan that lead toward democracy; they all mention the current problem of the people not going out to vote, they complain about this issue without realizing the underlying problems that exist. To them democracy means the right to vote, which is just one of the elements. If a nation has the right to vote, does that mean there is democracy?  We have to deeply think about that. Mind you, even voting can also take place in flawed democratic system or even in an authoritarian regime, as well.  

In Ethiopia today, out of 83+ Social groups, only 2 or 3 have political party that represent them, yet these parties expect the remaining social groups to vote for them although none of the parties include the remaining ethnics or represent them. What we are witnessing today is everyone is inside the forest trying to plant their own Tree, the kind of tree they believe would feed their own social groups; however what Ethiopia needs is a Party that steps out of the forest, look at the forest with all the existing trees and succeed to plant a new tree that feed all the people inside the forest, such Party can only be Ethiopian People’s party that is inclusive and represent all nations and nationalities within Ethiopia.

Ethiopian People’s party should be an association of members who share certain principles, and who strive to elect candidates (often merit based) for the purpose of advancing those principles. This ideal Party should be committed to the view that the dignity of all Ethiopians is the cardinal principle of democratic society and the primary purpose of all political organization and activity in such a society. The Party should be dedicated to the principles of building a society that is governed by the Rule of Law: individual freedom, responsibility and human dignity in the framework of a just society, and political freedom in the framework of meaningful participation by all persons. This ideal Party is bound by the constitution of Ethiopia and the Ethiopian Charter of Rights and Freedoms and is committed to the pursuit of equity and equality for all persons, to the enhancement of our unique and diverse cultural community, to the recognition and preservation of the multi-cultural identity of all Ethiopians. Its tenet should be diversity in plan and unity in action, where even a person from minority social group should have a chance to become the leader of the country.

Ethiopia has assorted ills from its past and engulfed with ethnic conflict now and again; however, it should not dwell on the past, but to learn from its past and move forward by resetting the mind-sets and change the default inhumane attitude. We have a lot in common. It should reset itself with the twin concept of democracy and human rights that gives opportunity to all including the minority social groups. In Ethiopia, currently the struggle for democracy is fundamentally a struggle for basic human rights, equity and equality. It appears representative democracy is perceived as the panacea of Ethiopia’s tribulations, and even as the essential catalyst for equity and equality that would ease the dominance and threats from the larger social groups. In a very inclusive manner, not assimilation and marginalization, but national integration and multiculturalism with representative democracy complemented with the basic rights to self-determination to enhance capacity for economic, social and political development should be the way to get out of the gloomy trend or political uncertainty. Until Ethiopia government is receptive to such high-level consciousness and actions or pave ways for basic human rights, the dignity of all its social groups, upholding the rule of law, justice for the minorities, and instills equity and equality in its political dispensations, Ethiopia would not be ready for democracy remotely! The essence of equity and equality emanates from humanity, not from artificial physical differences that sets ablaze among various socio-cultural groups in Ethiopia. The opportunities and threats should be sorted out with high level humane consciousness at its core coupled with vital indoctrination of the mass to holistically understand equity and equality among its 83+ ethnic groups for peace and prosperity for all.

Any humanly formulated system be it democratic, socialist, communism or other tic, ist or -isms, if it loses humanity at its core; it is bound to fail sooner or later. Be hold there is no peace without humanity; and unleashing humanity within diversity in plan and unity in action, leads to peaceful co-existence. For all human relations to exist and prosper, at all levels (individual, community and government), humanity must be there as humanity is the soul of diversity.